2/10/2026 • The Hirekeen Team
You rejected the right candidate in under 30 seconds and you do it every week. This is the sharp uncomfortable truth of modern recruitment. Most founders and hiring managers operate under the delusion that they are running a rigorous process. In reality they are participating in an elaborate ritual of hiring theater. They scan resumes for keywords that mean nothing. They conduct interviews that reward charisma over competence. They make gut feeling decisions based on a firm handshake or a shared hobby. The result is a funnel filled with false confidence and a graveyard of missed potential.1
The current state of pre screening is broken. It is a decision quality problem that has been disguised as an administrative task. Every time a recruiter or team lead opens a pile of resumes they are forced to act as a human filter. But humans are inconsistent. They get tired. They get bored. They have unconscious biases that they cannot turn off. When a human spends 6 seconds looking at a CV they are not evaluating talent. They are looking for reasons to say no.1 This approach is not just inefficient. It is expensive.

Hiring theater is a tax on your growth. The financial losses associated with a bad hire are staggering. Research from the Society for Human Resource Management suggests that the average cost to hire is nearly 4,700 dollars for a typical role. For executive positions that number can rise to 28,000 dollars.4 But the true cost of a bad hire goes far beyond the initial recruitment fee.
When a new hire fails it triggers a cascade of negative outcomes. There are financial losses from wasted onboarding and training. There are productivity setbacks as teams pick up the slack. There are culture and morale issues that arise when top performers see poor talent being brought into the organization.4
| Impact Category | Estimated Cost of a Bad Hire |
| Direct Financial Loss | Up to 30% of the employee's first year earnings.4 |
| Total Organizational Impact | Up to 240,000 dollars per employee.6 |
| Managerial Time | Managers spend 17% of their time managing underperformers.5 |
| Profit Impact | Doubling time to fill can result in a 3% drop in profits.4 |
| Retention Impact | Burnout from picking up slack accounts for up to 20% of annual turnover.4 |
The cost of a vacancy is equally punishing. For a position valued at 500 dollars per day a 36 day vacancy equals 18,000 dollars in lost productivity.4 Yet the pressure to fill these roles quickly often leads to a "hire anyone" mentality. This is where the theater begins. Recruiters start asking softball questions. They look for "fit" which is often just code for "someone who looks and talks like us." They advance candidates who sound confident but lack the judgment required for the role.7
The resume is a weak proxy for real capability. It is a static document designed to sell a narrative. It is not a measurement of reasoning or judgment. Years of education and years of experience are the most common filters used today but they are also the least predictive.9
Meta analytic research involving 85 years of data shows that experience and education have correlation coefficients of 0.18 and 0.10 respectively.9 These are defined as "unlikely to be useful." In contrast general mental ability and structured assessments show much higher validity.
The CV is a historical record of where someone has been. It is not a predictor of what they will do. When you use manual CV screening you are essentially guessing. You are looking for names of prestigious universities or well known companies. This creates a "prestige trap" that ignores smart people from different backgrounds who are well fitted for the role but lack the right labels.11
Manual screening challenges:
Once a candidate passes the resume filter they enter the interview stage. This is where hiring theater truly shines. Most early interviews are unstructured and generic. They reward the candidate who has the most polish. They favor the person who can tell the best story.15
A common ritual is asking "Tell me about yourself" or "What is your biggest failure?" These questions are so common that they have become meaningless. Candidates rehearse these answers until they sound perfect. But perfection is not performance. A candidate who can describe a failure using the STAR framework is demonstrating that they know how to interview. They are not necessarily demonstrating that they have the integrity or resilience to handle future challenges.17
The interview process is plagued by several types of cognitive bias:
This problem is particularly visible in niche industries like insurance or finance. Recruiters often ask questions that focus on rote knowledge rather than core competency. For example an interviewer might ask a candidate to "describe the typical claims process" for an insurance position.20
This is a fundamentally dumb question. Who cares if they know the current process? They will learn the process during onboarding. Every company in the industry has a different way of handling claims. The goal of hiring a top performer should be to find someone who can innovate and change that process so it is faster and more efficient.
If you are hiring an underwriter you should be evaluating their attention to detail. You should assess how well they communicate complex ideas. You should test their ability to work with actuarial teams to make clear judgments. Asking them what a claim is is insulting. It also creates a glass ceiling. It pushes you to hire the same kind of profile repeatedly. This results in a team of people who can give the same answer to the same questions but cannot solve a new problem.20
In many industries you want to hire smart people from different backgrounds. You need people who are able but not just people who are able to repeat a script. This reductive approach has a negative impact on the long term growth of the company. It prioritizes memorization over meaningful learning.20
We need to stop thinking about pre screening as a filter. We need to start thinking about it as a high quality signal generation layer. This requires a conceptual pivot.
The CV is context not a verdict. It should be used to understand the candidate's background so that the pre screening process can be tailored to them. If a candidate has a senior profile the questions they are asked should reflect that seniority. Asking a senior executive a "kindergarten spelling test" version of an interview question is a waste of everyone's time.23
Pre screening should adapt to the candidate. It should not force every candidate into the same static funnel. Early signals must measure reasoning judgment and role specific thinking. They should not measure memorization or social polish.
A new mental model for pre screening involves:
To achieve this new model we must look to the science of psychometrics. Specifically Item Response Theory or IRT. This is a mathematical framework used in high stakes testing to ensure precision and reliability.23
IRT assumes that there is a relationship between a person's latent trait (like intelligence or attention to detail) and the probability that they will answer a specific question correctly. Unlike classical test theory which just counts correct answers IRT uses complex parameters to evaluate the candidate.23
The math behind adaptive pre screening relies on three core parameters:
The probability of a correct response is often expressed as:
P(theta) = c + {1 - c}/{1 + e^(-a(theta - b))}
In this formula $theta$ represents the candidate's ability. As the candidate answers questions correctly the system identifies that their $\theta$ is high and serves more difficult items. This allows the system to find the candidate's "true score" much faster than a static test.23
| Feature | Static Screening | Adaptive Pre Screening (IRT) |
| Efficiency | Long tests are required for accuracy. | Shorter assessments with higher precision.26 |
| Candidate Experience | Can be too easy or too hard leading to drop off. | Always matches the candidate's level.26 |
| Precision | High measurement error at extremes of ability. | Maximum precision for both high and low performers.25 |
| Fairness | Prone to keyword matching and surface bias. | Focuses on the latent trait being measured.23 |
Many companies have tried to solve the screening problem with traditional AI tools. But these tools often make the problem worse. They are "black boxes" that replicate the biases found in historical hiring data.3
Recent research from the University of Washington and the Brookings Institution has shown that Large Language Models used for resume screening exhibit severe racial and gender bias. In one study white associated names were preferred 85.1% of the time. Black associated names were preferred in only 8.6% of cases.29
When AI has less information to work with like a short resume it relies even more on demographic signals like names. This means that traditional AI screening is not reducing bias. It is automating it. The bias is measurable and systematic. In direct head to head comparisons Black male candidates were never preferred over white male candidates by certain models.29
There is also a significant bias toward prestigious institutions. Candidates from elite schools receive preferential treatment which reinforces social inequalities and prevents organizations from finding hidden gems.11 This is why static AI screening is a dead end. We need a system that evaluates thinking not labels.
Hirekeen is the inevitable consequence of fixing the hiring process correctly. It is not a testing company. It is not a niche tool for engineers. It is a general purpose pre screening layer that replaces hiring theater with objective data.
Hirekeen is resume aware. This means the candidate's background actually shapes the assessment. The system parses the CV to understand the seniority and the industry context. It then calibrates the assessment so that a senior leader is not asked the same entry level questions as a junior analyst. This respects the candidate and provides a better experience.14
Hirekeen is adaptive. As the candidate responds the path of the pre screening changes. If they demonstrate high reasoning the questions become more complex. If they struggle the system adjusts to find their actual level of competence. This ensures that every candidate is evaluated at their limit which is the only way to get a high quality signal.25
Because Hirekeen is AI driven it provides a consistent and fair experience for every applicant. It does not get tired. It does not have a "similar to me" bias. It focuses solely on the reasoning and judgment required for the role. This allows companies to scale their hiring without increasing the manual workload on their recruiters and managers.3
Organizations using this type of intelligent automation see significant results:
At its core hiring is a decision quality problem. Every time you advance a candidate you are making a bet on their future performance. Most companies are making these bets with very poor data. They are relying on the "gut feeling" of a manager who has only spent 30 minutes with the person.33
Gut feeling is just bias in a suit. It feels professional but it delivers poor outcomes. A gut feeling cannot tell you if someone has the attention to detail required for an insurance underwriter. It cannot tell you if a project manager has the analytical thinking needed to handle complex trade offs. Only structured adaptive pre screening can give you that level of insight.15
By moving the evaluation of reasoning and judgment to the very beginning of the funnel you stop wasting time on the wrong people. You also stop rejecting the right ones just because they didn't have the "right" keywords on their resume. You create a process that is inclusive by design because it values how people think over where they went to school.
The current way we hire is a relic of the past. It is a manual process trying to solve a high volume problem. It is a subjective process trying to make objective decisions. Hiring theater might make you feel productive but it is sabotaging your company's growth.
It is time to move beyond the resume filter. It is time to stop asking generic questions that lead to predictable answers. It is time to embrace a pre screening layer that is as smart as the people you are trying to hire.
The future of hiring is adaptive. It is resume aware. It is powered by the same math that defines high stakes measurement. It is the only way to build a team that can actually solve the problems of tomorrow.
Stop filtering. Start understanding. Try Hirekeen.